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2024-12-14 00:32:43

The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.Everyone knows that consumption is the face of the king of consumption-liquor plate, but if I show you the weekly chart of liquor plate, you will understand why I have always been cautious about this plate.With regard to consumption, everyone knows the current consumption situation. The capital speculation, education, pet economy, cinema, snacks, millet economy, and the concept of Pinduoduo and Tik Tok are also confirming this logic. When I have time, I can talk more about the dilemma we are facing. That is to say, you should not just watch the excitement, but understand the current consumption situation, which is no longer a house, a car, home appliances, and a rough road.


Time relationship, so much for today, the market still has upward momentum, but chasing up is definitely unwise. I will always encourage the firm holding of low-level stocks that have not yet exploded. At present, this market specializes in chasing up and killing down small experts!Today's leading industries are all from the consumer sector. The surge in consumption is undoubtedly a rush to run the meeting, but unfortunately, the news of this meeting has just landed at 20 o'clock, and there is no reference to consumption exceeding expectations.I don't want to argue about right and wrong here, but let everyone understand the current market style. The current market is no longer the semiconductor, medicine, liquor, new energy, automobile, brokerage, food and household appliances and orderly rotating market before 2021. Now the funds are all thieves. Thanks to the unprecedented liquidity, they are all staring at a theme concept, that is, a wave of fierce competition, and then the news will fall to the ground to bet who will have it. The smaller the ticket, the more favored it is by funds. Nobody wants to be sedan chair, the former white horse stock and blue chip stock. This is the market style at present and even for a long time to come.


The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.Then the recent pressure level of the market is around 22.20, that is, the position of the high point of the average stock price, which is also the target position of the W-bottom shape. There is still room for the market to go up, so there is no doubt that the relationship between volume and price is almost perfect today, the stock price is going up, and the volume and energy can keep up with the average of five days and ten days, so we can safely hold shares until it rises.

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